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Published on: Jul 02, 2021
2 minute read
By: Dr Rakesh Rai

Delta Plus Variant Mystery: What Can Cause The Third Covid Wave?

Delta plus variant mystery: What can cause the third Covid wave?

Things in India are looking to normalize and beginning to reopen after a deadly second wave of Covid-19 infections devastated the country in April and May. There is various thought process from experts who are warning that a third wave could strike in the next few months. The majority of Indians are worried about new variants named delta plus, which is related to the Delta, an existing variant of concern first identified in India last year that was responsible for the deadly second wave.

The million-dollar question is how realistic these fears are. The reality is that future waves are not out of question but their severity and spread depend on several factors. In the past few weeks, the number of average daily cases in India has tapered down to less than 40,000 in recent days which was peak over 420,000 in May. The big drop in numbers has mainly because of strict lockdowns by states.

Many social and political events added to the second wave. If the reopening process are not orchestrated in a controlled fashion the next wave could come sooner than expected.

We are in a very decisive phase and our fate will depend on how we behave. Opening the states in a staggered manner is best. Going aggressive with vaccination and continue with COVID protocols will be the winning strategy. A balanced local and central health protocols could do the magic while severe action on defaulters could be used as a deterrent.

We know that the Delta variant had a killer impact during the second wave. The risk of future mutants in densely populated areas is known and preventive actions should be put in place immediately. There is no clear data around Delta plus but things have changed really fast when the proactive approach is not taken in advance. We need to understand that mutants only emerge when active transmission happening. A lot of research is happening around it take preemptive containment measures by understanding probable sequences.

So far data is indicating that the current vaccine is delivering good results in emerging mutants. India had sequenced 30,000 samples until June, but experts believe more needs to be done because the current vaccine is not a guaranteed long-term solution.

There are multiple cases where vaccinated people have got infected. Some call 3rd wave inevitable and some call it will be a smaller wave but the science is indicating that it will all depend on how effective our existing vaccine is against the new variants.

So, in conclusion, one can say that the key is the vaccinated population in controlling the wave and even allowing it to be formed. The acquired immunity and its efficacy will be crucial in determining the damage the third wave can cause. The required daily dose is upwards of 10 million to get all eligible populations covered by 2021.

The wide range of infection-causing natural antibodies and vaccination combined will provide the ammunition India needs badly to shield against future variants. The problem is the data around it is not very accurate. During the height of infections lot of COVID, infections went unreported. A lot of statisticians around it are guessing the acquired immunity percentage to be around 65%. This number should not be the reason we can take it easy.

Acquired immunity is immunity you develop over time from a vaccine or exposure to the infection.

Conclusively it can be said that “Third wave is only possible if the new variant beats the barriers of acquired immunity.”

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Community Health Wellness Programs: Building Healthier Communities Together

Healthcare does not begin in hospitals—it begins within communities. Community health wellness programs play a vital role in strengthening preventive healthcare systems, improving early detection and reducing disease burden. In India, where both urban and rural populations face increasing lifestyle and infectious disease risks, community-level initiatives are essential.

According to the World Health Organization, preventive and primary healthcare services delivered at community level significantly reduce morbidity and mortality. Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) reports also highlight the rising burden of non-communicable diseases such as diabetes and hypertension, emphasizing the need for community-based interventions.

What Are Community Health Wellness Programs?

Community health wellness programs are organized efforts designed to:

promote preventive healthcare
increase health awareness
provide screening services
encourage healthy lifestyle adoption

These programs may be conducted by healthcare organizations, NGOs, corporate CSR initiatives or government agencies.

Why Community Programs Matter in India

India’s healthcare challenges include:

high population density
urban-rural disparities
limited early screening access
rising lifestyle diseases

NFHS-5 data shows increasing prevalence of hypertension, diabetes and obesity, especially in urban areas. Community-level screening improves early detection.

Key Components of Community Health Wellness Programs

1. Preventive Health Screening

Health camps often provide:

blood pressure checks
blood sugar testing
cholesterol screening
BMI measurement

Early detection prevents complications.

2. Health Education and Awareness

Workshops on:

balanced nutrition
physical activity
tobacco cessation
mental health

help individuals adopt healthier habits.

3. Vaccination Drives

Immunization programs reduce spread of infectious diseases.

Community outreach increases coverage.

4. Maternal and Child Health Services

Programs focus on:

prenatal care
nutrition guidance
child immunization

Protecting vulnerable populations strengthens long-term health.

5. Chronic Disease Management Support

Community programs support patients with:

diabetes
hypertension
asthma

Education improves medication adherence.

Benefits of Community Health Wellness Programs

Improved Early Detection

Screening identifies disease before symptoms worsen.

Reduced Healthcare Costs

Preventive care is more affordable than emergency treatment.

Increased Public Awareness

Educated communities make informed health decisions.

Better Access for Underserved Populations

Rural and low-income groups benefit significantly.

Strengthened Public Health Systems

Community-level intervention reduces burden on tertiary hospitals.

Role of Technology in Community Health

Digital health platforms enable:

teleconsultations
electronic health records
AI-assisted risk assessment

Technology improves efficiency and outreach.

Corporate and CSR Involvement

Many organizations integrate community health programs into CSR initiatives.

Such programs:

enhance brand reputation
promote employee engagement
contribute to social impact

Corporate-community partnerships amplify reach.

Addressing Urban Health Challenges

Urban populations face:

pollution exposure
sedentary lifestyles
high stress

Community programs provide screening and awareness to mitigate risk.

Addressing Rural Health Gaps

Rural areas may lack access to:

specialists
diagnostic services
preventive screening

Mobile health camps bridge this gap.

Measuring Impact

Successful programs track:

number of screenings conducted
disease detection rates
follow-up adherence
reduction in risk factors

Data-driven evaluation improves sustainability.

Long-Term Impact on Public Health

Community health wellness programs contribute to:

reduced chronic disease burden
improved life expectancy
stronger healthcare infrastructure

Preventive care at grassroots level creates systemic improvement.

Challenges in Implementation

Common challenges include:

limited funding
awareness barriers
logistical constraints

Collaboration between government, private sector and NGOs improves scalability.

The Future of Community Wellness in India

With rising lifestyle diseases and growing awareness, community wellness initiatives will become central to public health strategy.

Integration of digital tools, preventive screenings and education campaigns will enhance impact.

Conclusion

Community health wellness programs are essential for building resilient and healthier societies. By promoting preventive care, early screening and health education, these initiatives reduce disease burden and improve quality of life. In India’s diverse and rapidly evolving healthcare landscape, community-based wellness efforts serve as a foundation for sustainable public health progress. Investing in community health today ensures stronger, healthier generations tomorrow.

References

World Health Organization (WHO) – Community Health and Preventive Care Reports
Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) – Non-Communicable Disease Data
National Family Health Survey (NFHS-5) – Public Health Statistics
NITI Aayog – Primary and Preventive Healthcare Strategy
Lancet – Public Health and Community Intervention Research

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